spc ac 141942
day 1 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0142 pm cst sun dec 14 2025
valid 142000z - 151200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
...20z update...
the 10 percent thunder area was removed from south tx as the surface
front has surged south of the area into northeast mexico. a minor
southward adjustment was also made across south florida based on
latest surface observations and radar trends. isolated weak
thunderstorms may persist the remainder of the afternoon from south
fl into the keys.
..leitman.. 12/14/2025
.prev discussion... /issued 0954 am cst sun dec 14 2025/
dry and stable conditions will prevail over most of the conus today,
with a few small exceptions. a strong cold front sagging southward
across tx might result in isolated afternoon thunderstorms over
south tx. widely scattered showers and thunderstorms could affect
south fl this afternoon as the same front weakens and approaches the
area. and finally, a few lightning strikes could occur inland
across western wa late tonight as a strong shortwave trough
approaches. no severe storms are anticipated in any of these areas.
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note: the next day 1 outlook is scheduled by 0100z