spc ac 010100
day 1 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0800 pm cdt thu jul 31 2025
valid 010100z - 011200z
...there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms for parts of the
central high plains into northeast wy...
...summary...
strong to potentially severe storms remain possible through this
evening across parts of the northern and central high plains.
...northern/central high plains...
a cluster of strong to occasionally severe storms is ongoing across
the central high plains. storms from the ne panhandle into northeast
co should eventually weaken later tonight, as cinh increases with
time and eastward extent, but some threat for hail and strong to
severe gusts may continue through the evening.
some increase in storm coverage and intensity remains possible from
north-central into northeast wy, as ongoing high-based convection
moves into an increasingly unstable environment, with very favorable
lapse rates noted on the 00z riw sounding. some threat for hail and
severe wind could accompany the strongest storms this evening,
though longevity of the threat could be limited by increasing cinh.
...southeast va and vicinity...
a couple strong storms remain possible across southeast va this
evening, within a moist and moderately buoyant environment.
localized wind damage cannot be ruled out before storms weaken or
move offshore later tonight.
..dean.. 08/01/2025
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note: the next day 1 outlook is scheduled by 0600z