spc ac 030654
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1254 am cst tue feb 03 2026
valid 041200z - 051200z
...no thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunderstorm potential appears low on wednesday.
...synopsis/discussion...
a positively tilted large-scale trough encompassing the eastern half
of the conus will undergo amplification as an embedded shortwave
trough digs southeastward across the southeast into the northern
gulf of america. as this occurs, a weak cold front will move
east-southeastward along the central gulf coast during the morning
and afternoon. current thinking is that buoyancy over land will be
too weak/shallow for any more than an isolated lightning flash with
convection along the front.
..weinman.. 02/03/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 1730z