spc ac 060530
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1130 pm cst thu feb 05 2026
valid 071200z - 081200z
...no thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunderstorms are not forecast on saturday or saturday night.
...synopsis...
an upper ridge will envelop much of the western two-thirds of the
conus on saturday, though an embedded southern stream shortwave
trough will develop east across portions of northwest mexico and the
southwest. meanwhile, an upper ridge will move offshore the atlantic
coast through early sunday. at the surface, gulf moisture will
remain cut-off as high pressure persists over the eastern half of
the conus. after 00z, weak surface lee troughing across the high
plains will allow for modest south/southeasterly return flow to
spread across the western gulf and the southern plains. some minor
increase in boundary-layer moisture will occur over south tx,
however this moisture is expected to remain shallow and
thunderstorms are not expected given weak forcing and warm midlevel
temperatures.
..leitman.. 02/06/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 1730z