spc ac 130621
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1221 am cst thu nov 13 2025
valid 141200z - 151200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
severe thunderstorms are not expected on friday or friday night.
...discussion...
thunderstorm potential should remain negligible across the conus,
outside of coastal southern ca. a closed upper low will fully cutoff
from the westerlies by friday night, offshore of southern ca.
low-topped, elevated convection may increase with slight
strengthening of the low-level warm conveyor late as the low drifts
east. mid-level lapse rates will remain weak and buoyancy should be
flimsy, likely supporting very isolated thunderstorm probabilities
near 10 percent.
..grams.. 11/13/2025
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 1730z