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spc ac 240554

day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1154 pm cst fri feb 23 2024

valid 251200z - 261200z thunderstorm areas forecast...

thunderstorm potential appears low on sunday.

northwesterly mid/upper-level flow will cover most of the conus on
sunday. a mid/upper-level low is expected to remain nearly
stationary offshore of baja california, while a northern-stream
trough is forecast to dig southeastward across the pacific northwest
late in the period.

generally dry and stable conditions should limit thunderstorm
potential across most of the conus. some weak destabilization will
be possible across parts of northern ca during the afternoon, but in
the absence of stronger large-scale ascent, coverage of thunderstorm
potential appears quite limited at this time. low-topped convection
will accompany the digging trough across the pacific northwest on
sunday night, but with only very meager instability, coverage of any
thunderstorm threat appears limited in this area as well. modest
low-level moisture will begin to return to parts of tx sunday night,
but negligible forcing is expected to limit elevated thunderstorm

..dean.. 02/24/2024

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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 1730z