spc ac 221642
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1042 am cst sun feb 22 2026
valid 231200z - 241200z
...no thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunderstorms are not expected on monday.
...synopsis...
a powerful cyclone initially offshore of the southern new england
coast will move northeastward toward nova scotia on monday. any
remaining lightning activity with this system is expected to be
offshore by the start of the period. otherwise, cool, dry, and
stable conditions in the wake of a cold frontal passage should
preclude thunderstorm development across the central/eastern conus.
elsewhere, shallow convection may persist into monday morning across
parts of the olympic peninsula of wa, but lightning potential should
generally diminish with time. a midlevel shortwave trough will move
from the canadian prairies toward the northern high plains during
the afternoon into monday night, along the periphery of an upper
ridge. negligible moisture/instability is expected to limit
thunderstorm potential with this shortwave.
..dean.. 02/22/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 0700z