spc ac 010634
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1234 am cst sun mar 01 2026
valid 021200z - 031200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunderstorms will be possible on monday and monday night across
parts of the central u.s., in south florida, and from the
intermountain west into the central high plains.
...discussion...
a mid-level shortwave ridge will move eastward across the great
plains on monday. at the surface, a front will become
quasi-stationary across north-central texas, as a ridge of high
pressure remains over kansas and western oklahoma. to the south of
the front, surface dewpoints will be mostly in the 50s f. over the
top of the post-frontal airmass, south to south-southwest flow will
result in moisture advection. as low-level flow strengthens in the
evening, a pocket of instability is forecast to develop from
northwest texas to central kansas. after midnight on the northern
edge of a consolidating low-level jet, scattered thunderstorms will
be possible from north-central and northeast kansas eastward into
northern missouri.
further to the west, additional storms will be possible in the
vicinity of a mid-level trough from the intermountain west into the
central high plains. isolated storms may also develop in south
florida during the day. no severe threat is expected across the
continental u.s. monday and monday night.
..broyles.. 03/01/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 1730z