spc ac 071727
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1127 am cst sat mar 07 2026
valid 081200z - 091200z
...there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms across portions
of the carolinas into southeast virginia...
...summary...
isolated, marginally severe thunderstorms are possible on sunday
afternoon to early evening across parts of the carolinas to
southeast virginia.
...carolinas into southeast virginia...
a midlevel trough will move eastward across the northeast, while a
related cold front moves slowly eastward across the appalachians and
eventually to the east coast late in the period. ahead of the front,
isolated thunderstorms are expected within a broad pre-frontal
surface trough extending across the carolinas into southeast va
during the afternoon. while midlevel lapse rates will be modest,
diurnal heating/destabilization of a relatively moist air mass
(lower/middle 60s dewpoints) will still contribute to weak
surface-based buoyancy ahead of these storms. this, combined with
around 30 kt of effective shear, may promote a couple loosely
organized storms during the afternoon and early evening before
quickly spreading offshore. the stronger storms will pose a risk of
locally damaging gusts and marginally severe hail.
..weinman.. 03/07/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 0600z