spc ac 021715
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
issued by 15th ows scott air force base il
1115 am cst tue dec 02 2025
valid 031200z - 041200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunderstorms are possible over southeast texas into louisiana on
wednesday into early thursday morning. severe storms appear
unlikely.
...synopsis...
a broad, low-amplitude mid-level trough will traverse the central
conus tomorrow (wednesday), aiding in the reinforcement of surface
high pressure and associated static stability across most of the
conus. while thunderstorm development should be suppressed over most
locales, isolated thunderstorms may develop within a broad warm-air
advection regime along the western gulf coast. thunderstorms will be
most likely as a cold front surges into the gulf, locally enhancing
low-level lift within the warm-air advection regime. forecast
soundings along the tx/la coast and inland suggest that a stable
layer will be in place, so storms inland should be elevated in
nature. given the expected meager buoyancy, the risk for severe
storms appears too low for probabilities.
..15_ows.. 12/02/2025
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 0700z