spc ac 121709
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1109 am cst fri dec 12 2025
valid 131200z - 141200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
isolated weak thunderstorm activity is possible across portions of
the texas and louisiana coasts, as well as south florida and the
keys saturday afternoon into saturday night.
...gulf coast...
an upper trough will deepen over the eastern half of the conus on
saturday, though stronger west/northwesterly flow will be displaced
well to the north of the region. at the surface, strong high
pressure will build over the plains into the midwest, shunting a
weak cold front south across the western and central gulf coast
vicinity during the overnight hours. modest moisture will be in
place along the tx coast into the central gulf coast vicinity, with
richer tropical moisture across south fl and the keys. this will
allow for modest destabilization ahead of the boundary. weak forcing
for ascent, warm midlevel temperatures, and weak instability will
preclude strong updrafts. nevertheless, isolated thunderstorm
activity will be possible near the tx coast into southwest la, as
well as south fl and the keys.
..leitman.. 12/12/2025
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 0700z