spc ac 220605
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1205 am cst thu jan 22 2026
valid 231200z - 241200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
isolated weak thunderstorm activity is possible friday afternoon
into friday night across parts of central texas.
...synopsis...
an upper low and attendant shortwave trough off the southern
ca/northern baja coasts friday morning will develop east toward
northwest mexico and lower co valley by saturday morning. as this
occurs, increasing midlevel moisture will spread northeast across
the southern plains as an arctic cold front dives southward across
ok/tx. as forcing for ascent increases friday afternoon into the
overnight hours, mainly wintry precipitation is expected across ok
and the northern half of tx. near and to the south of the arctic
cold front, sufficient low-level moisture will be in place to
support modest instability, especially as midlevel temperatures
cool. this could result in isolated thunderstorms near the
southward-surging cold front, or within the transition zone just to
the cool side of the boundary where sleet and freezing rain are
possible.
..leitman.. 01/22/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 1730z