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spc ac 270549

day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1249 am cdt fri mar 27 2026

valid 281200z - 291200z

...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...

...summary...
isolated thunderstorms will be possible saturday afternoon across
portions of the florida peninsula, but the potential for severe
thunderstorms is low.

...synopsis...
a strong cold front currently pushing southward across the plains
and oh valley is forecast to reach central to southern florida by
saturday afternoon. continued displacement from the primary synoptic
low and upper wave to the northeast will lead to a gradual abatement
of frontal advancement and the onset of frontolysis through the day.
despite diminishing low-level forcing for ascent, event modest lift
within an unstable and weakly capped environment will likely support
isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms by peak heating into
early evening. very weak winds (less than 20 knots) through much of
the column will limit storm organization and the potential for
severe convection. elsewhere across the country, dry and stable
conditions in the wake of the frontal passage will limit
thunderstorm potential.

..moore.. 03/27/2026

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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 1730z