spc ac 061635
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1135 am cdt mon apr 06 2026
valid 071200z - 081200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected on tuesday across
parts of the florida peninsula, the southern rockies, and northern
high plains. no severe threat is forecast across the u.s. tuesday
and tuesday night.
...synopsis...
strong surface high pressure over the great lakes and a cold front
oriented across north-central fl into the gulf will result in a
mostly dry/stable boundary layer east of the rockies. ahead of the
front across parts of the fl peninsula, a seasonally moist and
weakly unstable airmass will be in place. isolated to scattered
thunderstorms will be possible across the central/southern fl
peninsula and the keys, though modest vertical shear and poor lapse
rates will preclude severe thunderstorm potential.
additional isolated to scattered storms are possible across portions
of the four corners and southern rockies vicinity. midlevel
moistening amid steep lapse rates will support weak destabilization
as an upper shortwave trough moves across the region. this should
support weak thunderstorm activity, though severe storms are not
expected. further north, another upper shortwave trough will move
across the northern rockies to the northern high plains. while
moisture will be limited (pw values generally less than .75 in), a
few high-based thunderstorms will be possible across eastern mt and
vicinity as steep midlevel lapse rates and cold temperatures aloft
foster weak destabilization. inverted-v sub-cloud thermodynamic
profiles may support locally gusty winds, but severe convection is
not expected.
..leitman.. 04/06/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 0600z