spc ac 231728
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1228 pm cdt mon mar 23 2026
valid 241200z - 251200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
isolated thunderstorms will be possible on tuesday across the
central and north florida.
...synopsis...
a surface cold front, now approaching the piedmont, will move
southward into fl and stall by tuesday afternoon. daytime
heating/mixing along the stalled front, as well as local sea breeze
circulations, will support the potential for widely scattered
thunderstorms across central/north fl during the afternoon/evening.
this area will be along the southern fringe of the stronger westerly
flow aloft, and the combination of buoyancy and vertical shear does
not appear favorable for severe storms.
otherwise, a midlevel shortwave trough will move over vancouver/wa
tuesday into tuesday night. weak buoyancy rooted aloft will be
possible in the warm advection zone preceding the midlevel trough,
and steepening low-level lapse rates will allow shallow buoyancy in
the post-frontal environment late in the forecast period. isolated
lightning flashes could occur and this area will be re-examined in
later outlook updates.
..thompson.. 03/23/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 0600z