spc ac 131716
day 2 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1116 am cst tue jan 13 2026
valid 141200z - 151200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
isolated thunderstorms are possible across southeast florida and the
keys on wednesday.
...southeast fl and the keys...
within the base of an amplified large-scale trough encompassing the
eastern half of the conus, a midlevel shortwave trough will advance
eastward across the gulf of america toward the fl peninsula. in
response, an initially stalled front will move eastward across
southeast fl and the keys during the afternoon. most guidance (with
the exception of the rap) depicts marginally sufficient buoyancy for
isolated thunderstorms along the eastward-moving front during the
day. a secondary/stronger cold front will approach western fl late
in the period, though thunderstorms are not currently expected owing
to limited buoyancy.
..weinman.. 01/13/2026
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note: the next day 2 outlook is scheduled by 0700z