spc ac 130634
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0134 am cdt sat jun 13 2026
valid 151200z - 161200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
scattered thunderstorms are possible from the gulf coast states to
the carolinas, and across the northern plains/upper midwest. severe
thunderstorm potential appears limited at this time.
...synopsis...
broad upper troughing will envelop much of the conus east of the
rockies on monday. modest deepening of the trough will result in a
belt of increasing northwesterly flow aloft from the northern high
plains into the mid-south. at the surface, a cold front will extend
from the southern mid-atlantic coast west/southwest across the gulf
coast states into central tx. this boundary will sag southward
through the period. rich boundary layer moisture will be in place
ahead of the boundary, but this region will remain displaced to the
south of strong mid/upper level flow. scattered thunderstorms are
possible, and some gusty winds could occur. however, organized
severe potential appears limited.
further north across the northern plains/upper midwest, scant
boundary layer moisture is forecast. weak destabilization is
possible via cooling aloft/steepening lapse rates. this could be
sufficient for isolated, higher-based thunderstorms. gusty winds and
maybe small hail could occur, but overall severe potential appears
low.
..leitman.. 06/13/2026
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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 1930z