spc ac 061929
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0129 pm cst fri feb 06 2026
valid 081200z - 091200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
severe thunderstorms are not expected on sunday.
...discussion...
a large ridge across the western conus will suppress through the
period on sunday as a jet streak extends from the pacific into the
northern rockies. cooling air aloft across the pacific northwest may
lead to sufficiently deep instability for some lightning. at this
time, expect most of the lightning to remain offshore. therefore, no
thunder area has been added to the coastal areas at this time.
beneath the larger ridge, an upper low will move slowly east across
northern mexico. surface heating beneath cooling temperatures aloft
will result in modest instability across southeast arizona into far
southwest new mexico. forcing will remain relatively weak, but the
uncapped environment, combined with some terrain influences may lead
to isolated thunderstorm development sunday afternoon.
..bentley.. 02/06/2026
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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0830z