spc ac 111917
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0217 pm cdt wed mar 11 2026
valid 131200z - 141200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
severe thunderstorms are not expected on friday.
...synopsis...
a cold front currently pushing across the ohio valley and lower ms
valley will migrate off the east coast and down the fl peninsula
through thursday before stalling over southern fl early friday
morning. a dry/cool air mass overspreading much of the conus in the
wake of this front will mitigate thunderstorm potential for most
areas aside from the southern fl peninsula. although lapse rates
will be very marginal, rich low-level moisture coupled with
negligible capping should yield a thermodynamic environment
supportive of deep convection. 20-30 knot flow above 6 km may
support some degree of storm organization, but very weak low-level
winds/convergence should generally limit storm coverage and modulate
overall convective intensity.
..moore.. 03/11/2026
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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0730z