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spc ac 251920

day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0120 pm cst wed feb 25 2026

valid 271200z - 281200z

...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...

...summary...
general thunderstorms are likely over parts of the southeast on
friday. severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast.

...synopsis...
a shortwave trough will move from the southern plains toward the
northern gulf of america on friday, with cooling aloft overspreading
much of the southeast. at the surface, a prominent ridge will extend
from the mid atlantic across the tn and into the lower ms valley,
with a cold front roughly from sc into la.

near this front, rain and a few thunderstorms are likely to be
ongoing from southern la/ms/al/ga into northern fl friday morning.
while clouds and precipitation may hamper heating, at least a few
hundred j/kg mlcape appears likely given lower 60s f dewpoints and a
plume of low-level theta-e extending out of the northern gulf and
across the fl panhandle/southern al/southern ga.

given questionable destabilization and relatively weak boundary
layer winds, potential for isolated strong/severe storms are not
currently depicted.

..jewell.. 02/25/2026

click to get wuus03 ptsdy3 product

note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0830z