spc ac 050827
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0227 am cst wed feb 05 2025
valid 071200z - 081200z
...no thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunder potential appears minimal across the u.s. on friday.
...synopsis...
quasi-zonal flow aloft will continue across the u.s. in a broad
sense on friday. a short-wave trough initially over the
northwestern u.s. will move quickly eastward within the background
westerly flow field, weakening with time as it crosses the northern
rockies and reaches the northern plains late.
surface mass response associated with this system, in the form of a
weak surface low, is forecast to shift eastward across the
intermountain west and into the plains, settling over the nebraska
vicinity late.
meanwhile, the main surface baroclinic zone will remain draped
west-to-east from oklahoma to the southeast. any lingering/sporadic
lightning ongoing early over the carolina coast near this front
should move quickly offshore. afterward, though isolated showers
may evolve during the afternoon near the front over the southeast,
and other/isolated showers should accompany passage of the western
u.s. trough across the rockies, any potential for lightning appears
too low at this time to highlight with a 10% thunder area.
..goss.. 02/05/2025
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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 1930z