spc ac 051838
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1238 pm cst thu feb 05 2026
valid 071200z - 081200z
...no thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunderstorms are not forecast on saturday or saturday night.
...az/nm...
a positive-tilt shortwave trough/mid-level low west of northern baja
ca should drift east-southeast, approaching the peninsula through
saturday night. a plume of eastern pacific mid-level moisture should
spread into parts of eastern az and nm. however, this will likely be
accompanied by weak mid-level lapse rates, inhibiting elevated
mucape. marginal boundary-layer moisture might yield scant buoyancy
into southeast az by peak heating saturday. but with limited
large-scale ascent, thunderstorm potential seems negligible.
..grams.. 02/05/2026
click to get wuus03 ptsdy3 product
note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0830z