spc ac 081925
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0225 pm cdt wed apr 08 2026
valid 101200z - 111200z
...there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms from parts of
the tx and ok panhandles across southern kansas...northern
oklahoma...and toward the ozarks...
...summary...
thunderstorms with isolated large hail and severe gusts will be
possible on friday over parts of the southern and central plains
eastward into the ozarks.
...discussion...
on friday, an upper trough will move from the great lakes into the
northeast, with temporary upper ridging over the plains in advance
of a large upper trough moving across the west. at the surface, high
pressure will exist over the northern plains to upper ms valley,
with a cold front roughly from the ks/ok border into central mo, and
extending northeastward toward the lower great lakes. this front
will become nearly stationary during the day over the plains, and
will return north overnight as warm front across ks/mo.
beneath the upper ridge, potential will exist for scattered
thunderstorms along the frontal zone at various times of the day.
early day storms will be possible from eastern ks into mo and
possibly northern ok, as the thursday night activity persists into
friday morning with the aid of a southwesterly low-level jet and
outflows. this activity could pose strong gust potential before
weakening midday.
additional storms will be possible along the east-west front as
heating occurs to the south of it (and any outflows). though the
large-scale pattern will not favor significant coverage of severe
storms, isolated strong to severe storms may develop as the air mass
becomes uncapped. slow-moving severe storms producing large hail
appear most likely across the northern tx to ok panhandles into
southern ks and northwest ok, in closer proximity to the steeper
lapse rates aloft. overall, shear will be marginal, but a stationary
storm may briefly show supercell characteristics given the veering
winds with height, producing large hail and isolated damaging gusts.
..jewell.. 04/08/2026
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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0730z