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spc ac 021917

day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0117 pm cst sun nov 02 2025

valid 041200z - 051200z

...no thunderstorm areas forecast...

...summary...
thunderstorm and severe potential are low tuesday.

...synopsis...
broad troughing over the eastern us is forecast to weaken and shift
into the atlantic tuesday ahead of a deepening pacific trough
approaching the west coast early wednesday. persistent ridging over
the southwest will favor strong but largely zonal mid-level flow
over much of the central conus.

a dry and cool airmass is expected with surface high pressure over
the southwest and southeastern us the primary feature. as a result,
large-scale subsidence and continued dry offshore flow will suppress
buoyancy and thunderstorm development over much of the country. the
only exception to this may be near the or/northern ca coasts into
early wednesday morning. here, cool mid-level temperatures and
onshore flow could support a sporadic thunderstorm in the early
morning hours ahead of a strong cold front expected to move onshore
wednesday.

..lyons.. 11/02/2025

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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0830z