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spc ac 160705

day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0105 am cst fri jan 16 2026

valid 181200z - 191200z

...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...

...summary...
severe thunderstorms are not expected on sunday.

...synopsis...

an upper trough will move across the eastern u.s. through sunday
evening. thereafter, broad upper troughing will persist across much
of the conus east of the rockies. at the surface, a cold front will
develop southeast across the fl peninsula through afternoon.
sufficient boundary layer moisture will be present to support weak
buoyancy. large-scale ascent associated with the approaching upper
trough, and along the surface front, may support isolated
thunderstorm activity across portions of the keys into the southeast
fl peninsula during the morning and afternoon before the cold front
moves offshore. severe storms are not expected.

..leitman.. 01/16/2026

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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 1930z