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spc ac 171925

day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0225 pm cdt fri apr 17 2026

valid 191200z - 201200z

...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...

...summary...
severe thunderstorms are not expected on sunday.

...discussion...
an amplified large-scale trough will move eastward from the great
lakes to the northeast on sunday, while a related cold front moves
off the eastern seaboard. despite poor deep-layer lapse rates, a
narrow corridor of diurnal heating amid lower/middle 60s dewpoints
(higher over the fl peninsula) ahead of the front should support
isolated thunderstorms from the coastal carolinas southward across
parts of the fl peninsula. weak/narrow buoyancy profiles will limit
thunderstorm intensity and the severe risk.

..weinman.. 04/17/2026

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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0730z