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spc ac 030751

day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0151 am cst sat jan 03 2026

valid 051200z - 061200z

...no thunderstorm areas forecast...

...summary...
thunder potential appears negligible on monday and monday night.

...discussion...
a positive-tilt shortwave trough will progress east across the
pacific northwest and northern rockies, while a separate shortwave
impulse shifts south off the central to southern ca coast. buoyancy
will be minimal in the west, generally confined to coastal ca and
parts of the great basin. a few lightning flashes are possible in
both regions. but with weaker large-scale ascent compared to
d2/sunday, thunder probabilities appear to be less than 10 percent.

elsewhere, conditions will be too dry/stable for lightning-producing
convection through the period.

..grams.. 01/03/2026

click to get wuus03 ptsdy3 product

note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 1930z