spc ac 020819
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0219 am cst tue dec 02 2025
valid 041200z - 051200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
thunderstorms are expected along the gulf coast on thursday. severe
thunderstorms are not currently anticipated.
...synopsis...
broad, low-amplitude mid-level troughing, with embedded
perturbations, will continue to aid in reinforcing surface high
pressure across most of the conus, limiting thunderstorm
development. one impulse progressing across the central into eastern
u.s. will encourage weak surface low development just off of the tx
gulf coast at the start of the period. current guidance suggests
that the surface low, and associated warm front, should remain
offshore, tempering the severe threat. however, at least elevated
thunderstorms are possible as marginal elevated buoyancy advects
inland along the gulf coast with the passage of the low.
..squitieri.. 12/02/2025
click to get wuus03 ptsdy3 product
note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 1930z