spc ac 041911
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0111 pm cst thu dec 04 2025
valid 061200z - 071200z
...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
...summary...
isolated thunderstorms are possible along the gulf coast on
saturday. severe storms are not expected.
...synopsis...
diffuse mid-level troughing over the eastern us is again expected
saturday as a secondary shortwave trough moves out of the rockies
and over the plains. ahead of the western trough, a lee low will
deepen over parts of the central plains, north of a stalled front
along the gulf coast. high pressure over the southeastern us will
weaken as a cool polar air mass slowly modifies.
as the surface low moves south toward the gulf coast late saturday,
weak inland moisture advection is expected over parts of coastal
southeast tx and southern la into early sunday. isolated
thunderstorms are possible given the ascent and weak buoyancy that
develops. however, most if not all of the convection should remain
offshore. thus, while some elevated storms are possible inland, the
severe risk appears low.
..lyons.. 12/04/2025
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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0830z