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spc ac 170639

day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0139 am cdt wed jun 17 2026

valid 191200z - 201200z

...there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms across portions
of the southeast...

...summary...
isolated strong thunderstorms may produce damaging wind gusts across
portions of the gulf coast states/southeast on friday.

...southeast...

a series of mid/upper shortwave impulses will migrate across the
gulf coast states/southeast on friday. forecast guidance depicts
fairly strong 850 mb flow across the region early in the day, and
lifting shifting offshore from the carolinas by late afternoon.
while 850-700 mb flow will be enhanced, vertical shear will be
modest. nevertheless, convection will develop within a very moist
airmass amid moderate to strong instability ahead of a southward
sagging front. isolated strong/damaging gusts will be possible with
this activity.

..leitman.. 06/17/2026

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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 1930z