spc ac 051914
day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0214 pm cdt tue may 05 2026
valid 071200z - 081200z
...there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms ...
...summary...
a few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on thursday across
portions of the central gulf coast into south carolina.
...synopsis...
a strong upper-level speed max will move across the southeast to mid
atlantic thursday as the parent upper trough moves across the great
lakes and into the northeast. a cold front will extend roughly from
the central carolinas to the north-central gulf coast by late
afternoon, with 60s f dewpoints ahead of it.
scattered thunderstorms may be ongoing thursday morning across much
of this region ahead of the cold front, within the 850 mb theta-e
plume. a few strong gusts will be possible. thereafter, the rapid
progression of the upper trough will foster midlevel drying, with
veering low-level winds. as such, the greatest potential for a few
strong storms appear to be from morning through midday prior to the
front moving offshore. forecast soundings show very strong
deep-layer shear, but also increasing midlevel subsidence which may
counteract additional late afternoon development. any additional
late day development should be quite isolated and marginal in
nature.
..jewell.. 05/05/2026
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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0730z