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spc ac 151854

day 3 convective outlook
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0154 pm cdt sun mar 15 2026

valid 171200z - 181200z

...no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...

...summary...
thunder potential appears negligible on tuesday and tuesday night.

...discussion...
with a continental air mass enveloping the gulf and atlantic coasts
by tuesday morning, thunder potential will become negligible.
isolated convection might linger near the extreme southern fl
peninsula and keys just beyond 12z tuesday as the front reaches the
straits. thunder probabilities over land appear to be around 10
percent through 15z.

elsewhere, conditions will be too dry/stable for lightning-producing
convection through the period.

..grams.. 03/15/2026

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note: the next day 3 outlook is scheduled by 0730z