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fxus61 kcle 200734
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
334 am edt mon apr 20 2026
.what has changed...
- a freeze warning remains in effect until 11 am edt monday
morning for all of northern oh and northwest pennsylvania.
- a freeze warning has been issued for most of our cwa from 8 pm
monday evening to 10 am tuesday morning, except for lucas,
ottawa, sandusky, wood, and hancock counties.
&&
.key messages...
1.) unusually-cold air temperatures persist through monday night.
frost and sub-32f low temperatures are a concern again monday
night into tuesday morning.
2.) a warming trend will begin tuesday and continue through
this upcoming weekend.
&&
.discussion...
key message 1...
there are some lingering scattered rain showers mixing with wet
snow early this morning across portions of northeast ohio and
northwest pennsylvania. the trend is for these showers to
decrease and move out of the area before sunrise this morning.
high pressure centered over the upper midwest and lower great
lakes region will continue to build over the area today. skies
will clear out today allowing for mostly sunny to partly cloudy
conditions. high temperatures will be below average ranging from
the lower 40s over nwpa and neoh to the middle and upper 40s
over nwoh this afternoon. the center of the high pressure will
be right over neoh by this evening. with light winds and clear
skies, temperatures should drop quickly after sunset this
evening into the middle 20s over nwpa and the upper 20s to lower
30s over neoh and north central ohio. most of northern ohio and
nwpa is under a freeze warning again tonight into tuesday
morning with the exception of northwest ohio where temperatures
will fall in the middle 30s.
key message 2...
a warming trend and shift in the weather pattern will begin
tuesday. the area will be on the backside of the exiting high
pressure system with a return of southerly winds on tuesday.
high temperatures will range from the lower 60s across nwpa and
the middle to upper 60s across neoh and north central ohio.
high temperatures will reach the lower 70s across nwoh tuesday
afternoon with plenty of sunshine. a weak front will drop
through the great lakes region tuesday night into early
wednesday with scattered rain showers and an isolated
thunderstorm possible. this front will have not much impact to
our temperatures on the backside wednesday. high temperatures
will still range from the middle 60s to lower 70s.
an upper level ridge will track from the midwest into the ohio
valley and great lakes region on thursday. much warmer weather
is expected by thursday and friday with highs in the middle and
upper 70s, some locations may reach 80 degrees. the next weather
system to impact the region will be a cold front this weekend
with scattered chances for rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms possible. highs this weekend will be in the middle
to upper 60s.
&&
.aviation /06z monday through friday/...
some mvfr ceilings with scattered rain/snow showers continues
through ne oh and nw pa early this morning with the secondary
cold front through the region. the incoming air mass behind the
front is extremely dry and any precipitation should be done in
the next couple of hours. the mvfr will take a bit longer to
clear out with some support from lake erie abut should largely
be done by dawn. some 5-6 kft clouds will linger in ne oh and nw
pa through the morning hours but should be vfr for the morning
pushes. high pressure entering from the west will bring clearing
conditions which will spread across all of the terminals by the
end of the taf period. winds will be north to northwest through
the period, generally 10 kts or less.
outlook...non-vfr possible tuesday night and wednesday in rain
showers, some isolated thunderstorms are also possible.
&&
.marine...
overall, it appears to be an uneventful marine weather week on
lake erie. light northwest flow will continue on the lake today
with high pressure moving across the region. this feature will
move east tonight and winds will become southerly. a warm front
moving across the lake on tuesday will enhance southwest flow on
the lake, but flow should remain below 20 kts. a cold front will
move over the lake on tuesday night and pass to the south for
wednesday, bring a brief window of northwest flow. high pressure
will enter from the north behind the front, shifting east on
thursday, bringing light east flow then southeast winds. a
system will approach the lake for the end of the week and
southerly winds will increase on friday. overall, no marine
headlines are expected at this time.
&&
.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...freeze warning until 11 am edt this morning for ohz003-006>014-
017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
freeze warning from 8 pm this evening to 10 am edt tuesday for
ohz009>014-018>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
pa...freeze warning until 11 am edt this morning for paz001>003.
freeze warning from 8 pm this evening to 10 am edt tuesday for
paz001>003.
marine...none.
&&
$$
discussion...77
aviation...sefcovic
marine...sefcovic