753
fxus63 kiwx 011122
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
622 am est thu jan 1 2026
.key messages...
- light lake effect effect snow will end tonight. additional
snow accumulations less than an inch.
- cold through sunday with highs in the 20s.
- seasonably mild and dry sunday through next thursday with
highs mainly in the 40s.
&&
.discussion...
issued at 241 am est thu jan 1 2026
the cold front has moved south out of our area with scattered
light lake effect snow showers moving southeast across the area
in the wake of the frontal passage. the snow was quite dry with
high snow ratios with limited or few impacts. the cold airmass
will remain over the area into this weekend. highs will be mostly
if not all below freezing in the 20s through sunday. a very
strong signal of the upper level flow becoming high zonal (west
to east) will favor a moderation in temperatures next week.
energy from an ejecting low out of the southwest conus will
reach the ohio valley about the middle of next week. mild air
will overspread the area setting the stage for increasing
chances for rain during this time. all indications are that
temperatures will be 15 to 20 degrees above normal with few if
any weather related travel impacts. the cpc super ensemble
analog composite shows a very distinct positive anomaly over
the eastern half of north america.
&&
.aviation /12z tafs through 12z friday/...
issued at 621 am est thu jan 1 2026
road conditions behind this evening`s system and from our next
system could still be slippery as temperatures fall into thursday am.
the trough that caused the dose of system snow/drizzle last evening
and allowed for a transition to lake effect snow this morning is now
east of the area. lake effect snow looks to be light and so flight
conditions are not expected to be heavily impacted this morning;
mvfr conditions at the worst.
a period of prevailing mvfr conditions is expected during the later
morning into the early part of the afternoon hours ahead of another
weak system as moisture is trapped underneath an inversion.
this next weak system attempts to bring some more light snow this
evening on the back of an arriving surface high pressure system. it
appears much more dry air is prevalent to help keep flight
conditions tending towards vfr this afternoon and evening. some mvfr
vis and potentially some times of mvfr cigs cannot be ruled out, but
they don`t appear to be predominant.
expect winds to back from northwesterly to more westerly and
southwesterly ahead of the afternoon system. winds are expected to
remain at or below 10 kts through this taf period.
&&
.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for lmz043-
046.
&&
$$
discussion...skipper
aviation...roller