302
fxus63 kiwx 240754
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
354 am edt tue mar 24 2026
.key messages...
- warming trend tuesday through thursday.
- a strong cold front brings chances (50-80%) for showers and
storms thursday afternoon into thursday evening. some storms
could be severe.
- colder air will funnel back in on friday, with gradual
moderation next weekend.
&&
.discussion...
issued at 349 am edt tue mar 24 2026
surface high pressure will continue to drift east over the next 24
hours, allowing the roller coaster of temperatures to start its
climb up the track with slightly above normal temperatures today
then much above normal for wednesday and thursday. a weak wave will
drop se across the area wed evening to bring a small chance for
showers and maybe a storm or 2.
the main focus will be on thursday afternoon into thursday evening,
as the next trough and cold front arrive to bring increasing chances
for showers and thunderstorms. unlike the past couple of events, an
influx of deeper moisture is expected from the gulf with dewpoints
likely in the 60s for many areas by thursday afternoon. this,
combined with temperatures in the 70s to near 80 will allow for over
1000 j/kg of mucape, but soundings indicate capping in place until
00z possibly limiting more widespread development until closer to or
behind the front. any storms that manage to break the cap ahead of
the front would have sufficient shear to work with for all modes of
severe to be in play. spc dy3 outlook has most of the area in a
slight risk with the initial focus on a wind threat. with pwats
increasing to over an inch and some indications of pooling along the
front, locally heavy rain could be a concern with training of cells.
temperatures will dip once again into the 30s and 40s friday before
heading back into the 50s and then yet another slow moderation into
next week.
&&
.aviation /06z tafs through 06z wednesday/...
issued at 126 am edt tue mar 24 2026
high pressure pushing through continues to keep the area dry and in
vfr with plenty of dry air below 850 mb. on the back side of the
high pressure system, winds turn more southwesterly during the
afternoon. the relative strength of the low level jet and given the
fact we`re in a waa pattern at that point, will keep sustained winds
as the driver of wind intensity instead of gusts.
&&
.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.
&&
$$
discussion...fisher
aviation...roller