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afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
632 am est sun nov 8 2026

.key messages...

- becoming breezy today with highs in the mid-upper 50s.

- remaining dry into monday and tuesday with gradual warming.

- trending cooler late wednesday through friday with chances
for rain, mainly late wednesday afternoon into thursday.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 217 am est sun nov 8 2026

low level height field tightens today in response to a system
passing off to the north with diurnal mixing supporting a few
late morning/afternoon westerly gusts up to 25-30 mph. this
system does force a weak front through later today into tonight.
no threat for rain however given the dry column and overall
weak ascent. low amplitude west-northwest flow aloft persists
otherwise into tuesday with quiet wx and gradual warming.

a deep upper level trough remains on target to dig into the eastern
us late wednesday through saturday with deepening northerly flow
and colder temperatures. the last several model cycles have been
farther north with the leading wave and sfc reflection wednesday
afternoon-night with increasing prospects for a period of rain.
this low exits east into thursday and friday with colder
northerly flow in its wake. rounds of mid level dpva and deep
northerly flow with 850 mb temps down to near -5c looking should
support a healthy long lake axis response during this time into
far nw in and possibly sw mi. the lake modified mixed layer
could cool just enough for the first snowflakes to mix in
further inland later thursday night.

&&

.aviation /12z tafs through 12z monday/...
issued at 629 am est sun nov 8 2026

vfr conditions expected this taf period with a few diurnal
clouds around 2000-2500 ft later this morning into the
afternoon. gusty westerly winds with gusts around 25 kts after
14-15z sun.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...small craft advisory until 5 am est monday for lmz043.
small craft advisory from 10 am this morning to 5 am est
monday for lmz046.

&&

$$

discussion...steinwedel
aviation...andersen