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area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
306 am edt fri sep 22 2023

issued at 302 am edt fri sep 22 2023

fair weather conditions will persist through this weekend with
high pressure in control. highs will reach the low 80s today, and
the mid to upper 70s this weekend.


.short term...(today and tonight)
issued at 302 am edt fri sep 22 2023

a decaying northern il upper low will shift north into wi today
bringing a decrease in high level clouds by later this morning and
afternoon. remaining dry and mild otherwise with highs into the low
80s today, and lows a touch cooler into the low-mid 50s tonight.


.long term...(saturday through thursday)
issued at 302 am edt fri sep 22 2023

the area will be within an upper level col this weekend, sandwiched
between a tropical system tracking north along the mid atlantic
coast, low pressure emerging over the northern plains, and an upper
level trough dropping through southeast canada. this blocking then
holds firm into next week as anomalous upper ridging develops over
ontario/hudson bay. a weak cut-off low and associated sfc trough
will likely develop under this feature during this time, though a
model consensus keeps the area locked in dry east-northeast low
level flow with seasonable temps and mainly dry conditions


.aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z friday night)
issued at 123 am edt fri sep 22 2023

a stagnant wave pattern will result in little west-east movement
of primary forcing mechanisms this morning. a cut-off mid-upper
system largely enhanced by diabatic processes over past 24 hours
will exhibit little movement through this period. low level
southeasterly flow across northern indiana will confine main low
level moisture transport axis to central/northern illinois where
additional rain showers persist early this morning. mid level
clouds overnight will give way to some vfr diurnal cu development
during the day. southeast winds will generally be 10 knots or less
during the day today.


.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...


short term...steinwedel
long term...steinwedel

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