624
fxus63 kiwx 190931
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
531 am edt thu mar 19 2026
.key messages...
- chances for precipitation will be rather limited through the
period.
- generally above normal temperatures through the next 7 days,
with the coolest day being monday with highs closer to normal
(mid 40s).
&&
.discussion...
issued at 201 am edt thu mar 19 2026
precipitation chances...
area of light showers extends nw to se from central wi into sw
lower mi with our far ne portions of the forecast area to be
clipped over the next several hours. models have backed off
considerably compared to 24 hours ago and also reside further
ne, resulting in disappointing chances for measureable precip.
pops were trimmed across the south earlier and may need further
lowering in the ne, but for now have maintained slgt chc to chc
pops in these areas. air temps are above freezing, but some wet
bulbing may occur to send temps closer to freezing for a brief
period, warranting leaving a mention of freezing precip in. not
overly concerned about travel issues with this, but will monitor
as we draw closer to the morning commute. yet another
disturbance drops southeast, with the sfc low tracking well ne
of the area. slgt chc to chc pops remain in ne areas, but could
very well be overdone and trimmed in subsequent forecasts.
dry weather is in store for saturday and again starting monday
with a cold front set to pass though sunday. the best moisture
will remain well south of the region with dewpoints struggling
to reach the lower 50s. some slgt chc to chc pops remain in the
model blends, but anticipate either maintenance of these or
possible lowering with time. the upcoming work week looks
generally dry, with medium range models hinting as maybe some
weak system to bring limited chances for showers. by the end of
the week, a much more dynamic pattern sets up that may bring
better chances.
temperatures...
through the next 7 days, temperatures should generally be above
to well above normal (normal highs in the mid to upper 40s) with
the warmest days being friday and sunday when 70s return. a drop
back to seasonable (40s) temperatures occurs for monday in the
wake of the cold front, but this is short lived with moderation
into the upcoming week.
&&
.aviation /06z tafs through 06z friday/...
issued at 108 am edt thu mar 19 2026
a clipper system is moving through this morning bringing light
rain to areas east and north of the terminals. forecast
soundings show notable dry air below 8k ft agl at ksbn, thus,
the overall chance of measurable rainfall remains low at both
sites.
6k to 5k ft stratus is noted over southern and central wi where
skies had temporarily cleared. this will be monitored should it
continue to expand or trend closer to mvfr. otherwise,
decreasing clouds anticipated today. wind increases toward 10
knots late in the period as low pressure moves over southern
ontario.
&&
.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.
&&
$$
discussion...fisher
aviation...brown