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afdiwx

area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
214 am est sat nov 7 2026

.key messages...

- seasonably cool conditions continue today into tonight.

- a slow warming trend commences sunday through tuesday, with highs
in the 60s by tuesday.

- cooler temperatures return for the second half of next week.

- dry through the middle of next week.

&&

.discussion...
issued at 214 am est sat nov 7 2026

heights will be on the rise and warm advection will commence today
into tonight as a well defined upper low exits east through the
eastern great lakes and new england. lake clouds will linger
for much of the day in lingering nw flow, though partial
afternoon clearing and waa could allow temps to recover into the
low-mid 50s.

several northern stream shortwaves and associated mid-upper level
jet streaks bypass north-northeast of the area sunday through
tuesday allowing for dry conditions, a gradual warming trend, and
somewhat breezy conditions at times.

ensemble guidance continues to come into better agreement in a
deeper negative height anomaly emerging over the eastern conus by
the second half of next week. this likely draws a cold front through
the area around wednesday with another shot of cooler/breezy wx
thursday through saturday. chances for measurable rain appear on the
low side however with flow trajectories favoring far nw in and ne il
around thu-fri for higher lake effect rain chances.

&&

.aviation /06z tafs through 06z sunday/...
issued at 1214 am est sat nov 7 2026

lake effect showers/drizzle have diminished over the last
couple of hours and will continue to do so over the next few
hours. then mainly mvfr cigs will be expected with the fairly
moist surface layer from the recent rainfall. drier air looks to
begin pushing in by early afternoon (19-20z timeframe) on
saturday and should help to mix out the lower clouds and bring a
return to vfr conditions through the remainder of this taf
period. westerly winds up to 10 kts expected this period.

&&

.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for lmz043-
046.

&&

$$

discussion...steinwedel
aviation...andersen