037
fxus63 kiwx 101753
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
153 pm edt fri apr 10 2026
.key messages...
- cold tonight with some frost. lows in the 30s.
- becoming very warm in the days ahead. highs well into the 70s
as early as sunday.
- starting saturday night, there is at least a 20% chance of
showers and thunderstorms almost daily as a number of
disturbances pass through.
&&
.discussion...
issued at 152 pm edt fri apr 10 2026
active weather pattern ahead with a southeast us ridge sending gulf
moisture poleward, channeled against a desert southwest trough.
a cool, crummy day to the north of a slow-moving cold front. here,
temperatures have fallen into the 40s with a steady northwest wind.
farther south, 60s prevail with a continued chance (20-40%) of rain
until the boundary clears this evening. high pressure, currently
over the missouri river valley, moves overhead resulting in a
chilly and event frosty night with lows in the 30s. we`re still
short of our median final spring freeze, and the most recent
michigan fruit reports depicts sensitivity in the 20s, so, we`ll
continue on headline-free. warmth in the coming week will
rapidly accumulate growing degree days, likely activating the
growing season in the days to come.
as high pressure shifts east sunday, the first of many upper-level
impulses lifts through texas and spills atop the retreating high.
we`ll continue to carry 20-30% chance pops, but know sunday will not
be a washout. showers, and even thunderstorms, are more widespread
monday as a warm front lifts in. the morning time of arrival and a
lack of instability ought to preclude the overall severe weather risk
locally. instead, attention will turn to tuesday (and wednesday to a
lesser extent) where the storm prediction center is already
highlighting a severe weather risk. a much better colocation of
ingredients builds tuesday as low pressure lifts over the
midwest and instability exceeds 1,000 j/kg and shear exceeds 40
knots. this is several days out, and it certainly looks like a
scenario where morning showers and clouds needs to clear before
any afternoon or evening storm initiation. stay tuned. the
trailing cold front clears our area wednesday, bringing a
continued chance for showers and thunderstorms.
in the wake of this front, little change in the upper-air pattern
resulting in a continued flow of disturbances across a southeast us
ridge.
&&
.aviation /18z tafs through 18z saturday/...
issued at 1256 pm edt fri apr 10 2026
a stalled boundary currently bisects the area from northwest to
southeast, extending from toledo, oh to fort wayne, in to
champaign, il. a few isolated showers are ongoing out ahead of
the front as it slowly sinks southeast, but kfwa and ksbn should
stay dry for the rest of the day as the front has already
passed. behind the boundary, winds are coming from the northwest
and will gradually diminish after sunset. mvfr ceilings
currently persist area-wide and will for the next few hours,
although visible satellite imagery shows that clearing is
ongoing to our northwest. expect clearing skies throughout the
afternoon and evening, with vfr ceilings returning by 00z
tonight. light northerly winds and few clouds will make for a
very quiet overnight.
&&
.iwx watches/warnings/advisories...
in...none.
oh...none.
mi...none.
marine...none.
&&
$$
discussion...brown
aviation...johnson